“Would love to be there right now... I hear Coco View calling my name; come home, come home, come home...” - DWolgast
Doc's Daily Weather Report
The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast CoCoView is at 16.3°N Latitude x 86.5°W Longitude
In the NW Caribbean Sea
The CoCoView Resort Weather Forecast
Wednesday, August 24, 2016
Skies will be partly cloudy. Winds will be easterly in direction at 5 mph to 10 mph or less. Seas will be calm at 1 to 3 ft or less. The air temperatures will range from the high 70sºF to the mid to high 80s ºF or 26°C to 27ºC. Ocean water temperatures are 80°F to 82°F or 26ºC to 27ºC.
The Tropical Weather Outlook
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
1. Gulf of Mexico - A thermal trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula during the late afternoons. A surface high currently over the N central Gulf will shift N of the area today with the pressure gradient tightening across the NE Gulf waters briefly tonight.
2. Caribbean Sea - A tropical low is currently near 17N61W along a tropical wave axis. Tropical cyclone development is possible as the low continues NW across the Leewards today with the strongest winds over the NE quadrant of the low. Fresh trades will develop across the E and central Caribbean tonight and continue through Sat. Strong NE winds expected along the NW coast of Colombia tonight. Tropical cyclone Gaston is expected to pass E of the area...but long period swells resulting in combined seas of 7-9 ft will propagate into the tropical waters N of 18N E of 57W on Fri.
3. ...SPECIAL FEATURES...
3a. Tropical Storm Gaston is centered near 14.9N 38.6W at 24/0900 UTC or about 850 nm west of the Cabo Verde Islands moving west- northwest at 15 kt. Estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb. Maximum sustained wind speed is 60 kt with gusts to 75 kt. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 13N-17N between 35W-40W. Clusters of scattered moderate convection are from 15N-20N between 39W-43W.
3b. A tropical wave moving across the Lesser Antilles is analyzed from 21N66W along 18N63W through a 1009 mb low near 17N61W to 12N59W. This system could become a tropical depression during the next day or two as it moves west-northwest 13 to 17 kt. Conditions could become more conducive later this week while the system moves near the southeastern and central Bahamas. Scattered moderate to isolated strong convection is from 15N-18N between 60W-64W. Scattered showers and possible isolated thunderstorms are from 17N-21N between 56W-67W. There is a medium chance of tropical formation in the next 48 hours. Interests from the islands of the northeastern Caribbean Sea to the Bahamas should continue to monitor the progress of this system. Gusty winds, heavy rains, and possible flash floods and mud slides could occur over portions of these areas regardless of tropical cyclone formation.
The Tides: Moon and Sun
high tide 1:26 am LT Sunrise – 5:33 am LT>78° East
low tide 8:26 am LT Sunset – 6:05 pm LT < 281° NW
high tide 3:26 pm LT Moon Rise – 11:23 pm LT<74° East
low tide 9:21 pm LT Moon Set – 11:31 am LT>285º West
When planning a vacation to Roatan you should be aware that, like other countries in the Caribbean, the island is a tropical region with year-round warm temperatures. Monthly averages range from a low of 72°F (22°C) to a high of 89°F (31°C), and even the coldest night will still be comfortably warm.
The weather year round on Roatan is mostly sunny and markedly temperate when compared to northern climes. The seasonal differences are much more subtle than in northern latitudes, but they do exist.
February through May the easterly trade winds are moderate and rainfall is negligible. The ocean water begins to warm and air temperatures range from the high 70s °F to the low 80s °F.
June 1st marks the start of the tropical season in the Western Hemisphere. Roatan is well off the common major hurricane tracks; experiencing about one major hurricane every 20 years. From June through mid-October, skies are mostly sunny with a chance of intermittent rain showers.
By mid-October, ocean water temperatures are in the low to mid- 80s °F and air temperatures are in the mid-80s °F to low 90s °F. Trade winds are the strongest during the month of July.
In the Western Caribbean Sea, ocean water temperatures reach their peak around the middle of October. This coincides with the beginning of winter in the northern hemisphere. The cold fronts that bring snow to Canada and the USA make their way south to us, eventually. When this cool air mass collides with the warm tropical air, the result is rain.
During the fall and winter, when a cold front passes through, night time air temperatures can fall into the high 60s°F. Dive parkas, hoodies and hot chocolate are the order of the day. However, overcast skies and rain will soon give way to sunshine and higher temperatures.